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The Future of First-Time Homebuyers: Trends and Prospects

Home buying in the UK, especially for first-time buyers, has undergone significant changes over the past decade. Recent findings from the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLA) highlight a concerning trend: the number of first-time buyers has dramatically decreased since the financial crisis, with a cumulative shortfall reaching approximately 3.1 million by the end of 2023. This decline comes despite periods of what was considered "excellent affordability," where mortgage payments accounted for less than 30% of a first-time buyer's income.


Challenges Facing First-Time Buyers

One of the most significant barriers for first-time buyers in recent years has been the stringent regulatory environment that followed the financial crisis. Regulations that require higher capital for high loan-to-value (LTV) lending and restrict lending at or above 4.5 times a buyer's income have limited many potential homeowners' ability to enter the market. Additionally, the increase in interest rates has further exacerbated the affordability challenge, contributing to a reduction in the number of first-time buyers—from 405,000 in 2021 to just 257,000 last year.


Finances for prospective homeowners has also shifted regionally. Unlike in 2021, it is now more expensive to buy than to rent in almost every region, except for the North West, Scotland, and Northern Ireland. This shift is significant and reverses the previously more favourable buying conditions. Coupled with a 22% rise in rents nationally and a 24% increase in London between September 2021 and April 2024, the financial pressures on potential buyers and renters are mounting.


The Long-term Financial Benefits of Homeownership

Despite these challenges, homeownership continues to offer substantial long-term benefits. Based on previous IMLA research, buying a home with a 25-year 95% LTV repayment mortgage could result in being £352,000 better off than renting over the same period, assuming mortgage rates do not consistently exceed 11.5%. Beyond the financial gains, homeownership provides security of tenure and contributes to the creation of stable, settled communities.


Recommendations for Supporting First-Time Buyers

Given the current difficulties, there are several strategies that could support prospective first-time buyers:


1.     Reassessment of Regulatory Barriers: There is a need for the government to revisit and potentially revise the regulatory frameworks that currently restrict first-time buyers. This includes re-evaluating the Financial Policy Committee’s loan-to-income (LTI) flow limits, which cap the amount of high-income multiple loans that can be offered by lenders.

2.     Support for Low Deposit Mortgages: Enhancing access to low deposit mortgages could help bridge the gap for first-time buyers who can afford monthly repayments but struggle to save for a large upfront deposit.

3.     Incentives for First-Time Buyers: The introduction of more targeted government incentives, such as stamp duty relief for first-time buyers or enhanced Help to Buy schemes, could make homeownership more accessible.

4.     Innovation in Housing Finance: Encouraging the development of innovative mortgage products that reflect the modern economic realities and income patterns of potential buyers, such as mortgages that consider freelance or gig economy incomes, could broaden the eligibility pool.



The path to homeownership for first-time buyers is fraught with financial hurdles, exacerbated by regulatory constraints and a challenging economic environment. However, by addressing these barriers through thoughtful policy reforms and support mechanisms, the government and regulatory bodies can enhance access to homeownership. This will not only benefit individuals and families looking to own their homes but will also foster broader economic stability and community cohesion. As a mortgage advice company, I continue to advocate for solutions that support first-time buyers, ensuring that the dream of homeownership remains attainable for more people across the UK.


If you're a fist time buyer looking for mortgage advice, please get in touch


Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

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